George Bush, Reconquistador
When you've lost Rich Lowry, you've lost American conservatism:
The President doesn't get it: you don't win in politics by splitting your base. You win by splitting the other guy's base. George Bush has taken conservatives for granted far too often. Reap the wind, sow the whirlwind.
President Bush has a bold new approach to immigration enforcement: He wants to police the Mexican border with symbolism.
That's the point of his proposal to send the National Guard to our border with Mexico. This represents Bush's final, desperate descent into Clintonian sleight of hand. He wants to distract enough of his supporters with the razzle-dazzle of "National Guard to the Border!" headlines that they won't notice he is pushing through Congress a proposal that essentially legalizes all the population influx from Latin America that has occurred in the past 10 years and any that might occur in the future.
Like President Clinton's gesture of sending more U.S. troops to Somalia after the "Black Hawk Down" battle in Mogadishu, when everyone knew we were really on our way out, Bush's Guard deployment is a prelude to surrender. The immigrants who have come here in defiance of our laws will get to stay, bring their families and be joined by just as many immigrants in the futureāat least if Bush gets his way.
It is with this position that Bush has wrecked his political standing, kicking out from under himself the support of his conservative base. Bush's National Guard feint is a sign that the White House thinks conservatives are not just disaffected, but credulous. The Guard won't have any real enforcement duties. It will merely provide logistical backup to the Border Patrol. The Guard's presence will be temporary, until a proposed doubling of Border Patrol agents takes place. But if the past is any guide, all of those new positions ultimately won't be funded, once the political heat passes.
Having the National Guard sharpen pencils and fetch coffee for the Border Patrol can't fix our broken immigration system. It is no substitute for a fence, nor for real interior enforcement that punishes employers for hiring illegal labor. The Bush approach to the latter also relies on symbolism. A 26-state immigration raid garnered extensive press attention last month, but most of the aliens arrested were quickly released again.
There is no sign that the raid was a harbinger of a broader crackdown on the employment of illegals, which is the source of the surge of illegals. This isn't surprising, since if it were a Bush priority to enforce the immigration laws, there presumably would have been some sign of it prior to the sixth year of his presidency. Like Bartleby the Scrivener, Bush's position on enforcing these laws has been only a firm, "I'd prefer not to."
The President doesn't get it: you don't win in politics by splitting your base. You win by splitting the other guy's base. George Bush has taken conservatives for granted far too often. Reap the wind, sow the whirlwind.
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